Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 4.255127 4.766871 5.323746 5.976023 6.720719 7.546281 8.533359
2025-01-26 3.508472 4.190093 4.987688 5.994903 7.239901 8.737343 10.688269
2025-02-02 3.117065 3.906297 4.882115 6.188011 7.905943 10.111049 13.191683
2025-02-09 2.808945 3.658572 4.756757 6.297724 8.432092 11.325316 15.615072
2025-02-16 2.561899 3.447292 4.635684 6.372459 8.888076 12.465433 18.058143
2025-02-23 2.360841 3.268676 4.528290 6.436877 9.314490 13.588188 20.602344
2025-03-02 2.123704 3.011724 4.278839 6.258753 9.348477 14.113066 22.273096
2025-03-09 1.951450 2.829689 4.115948 6.184576 9.519483 14.849788 24.360631
2025-03-16 1.800299 2.663960 3.959380 6.098780 9.653375 15.528262 26.424076
2025-03-23 1.744527 2.636977 4.009634 6.341346 10.342340 17.197831 30.458416
2025-03-30 1.639497 2.523488 3.912592 6.329996 10.595203 18.136612 33.273545
2025-04-06 1.535813 2.403457 3.794005 6.268636 10.749427 18.908571 35.867725
2025-04-13 1.382655 2.194294 3.516959 5.915972 10.357166 18.651541 36.422140
2025-04-20 1.313539 2.119508 3.459224 5.944992 10.670907 19.771265 40.001962
2025-04-27 1.278463 2.099054 3.491734 6.138449 11.314556 21.613299 45.438598
2025-05-04 1.232365 2.055772 3.480147 6.247614 11.803690 23.201778 50.580381
2025-05-11 1.184627 2.005846 3.452186 6.321766 12.228504 24.706454 55.788434
2025-05-18 1.139141 1.956492 3.420975 6.385620 12.637155 26.225682 61.303533
2025-05-25 1.064866 1.849804 3.275661 6.209109 12.516470 26.547317 63.838887
2025-06-01 1.009992 1.775249 3.185330 6.135601 12.609844 27.367258 67.822295
2025-06-08 0.957868 1.702525 3.093382 6.050576 12.668113 28.110596 71.734003
2025-06-15 0.947644 1.708350 3.153867 6.290957 13.489267 30.803787 81.663646
2025-06-22 0.909449 1.657881 3.099572 6.279710 13.724213 32.071806 87.697388